UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. Interception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g. Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify. Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify. Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 3120761

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. market_id: 3121262

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Saudi Arabia” refers to the terrestrial territory of Saudi Arabia, including its internal waters. Saudi Arabia’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Saudi Arabia as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia, the Houthis and credible reporting. market_id: 3449323

This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3738112

This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3738112

This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3738130

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto and Rodrigo Alujas in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Puerto" if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins by 2 or more sets than Rodrigo Alujas, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alujas." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712471

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto and Rodrigo Alujas in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Puerto" if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins by 2 or more sets than Rodrigo Alujas, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alujas." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712471

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto and Rodrigo Alujas in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Puerto" if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins by 2 or more sets than Rodrigo Alujas, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alujas." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712471

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to "Chung" if Hyeon Chung wins by 2 or more sets than Hikaru Shiraishi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Shiraishi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3738083

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712447

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712447

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712490

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712447

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712447

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alujas” if Rodrigo Alujas wins set 2. It will resolve to “Puerto” if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. market_id: 3712445

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Majchrzak and Tom Zeuch in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3712843

This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Hikaru Shiraishi in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:17AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics. market_id: 3738093

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto and Rodrigo Alujas in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Puerto" if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins by 2 or more sets than Rodrigo Alujas, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alujas." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. market_id: 3712471